Grain & Soybean Date: February 11, 2013
Soybeans
Local Elevators:
(Feb) EAST AR: 1415 to 1452
(NC) Summ. 1239 to 1269
River Elevators:
(Feb) MISS: 1452 to 1470 ; AR & White 1409
to 1445
(NC) Summ. 1244 to 1294
Ark. Processor Bids: (Feb) 1442 to 1462
(NC) 1259 to 1264
Memphis:
(Feb) 1471 1/2 to 1473 1/2 (NC)
1293 1/2 to - - -
Riceland Foods:
(Feb) Stuttgart - - - ; Pendleton
- - -
(NC) Stuttgart - - - ; Pendleton
- -
| Chicago Futures: |
March |
down |
21 |
at |
1431 1/2 |
| |
May |
down |
19 1/2 |
at |
1417 1/4 |
| |
July |
down |
18 1/2 |
at |
1407 |
| |
Aug |
down |
19 1/2 |
at |
1369 1/4 |
| |
Sept |
down |
19 3/4 |
at |
1309 3/4 |
| |
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is: |
0¢ |
Soybean Comment
Soybeans continued Friday’s negative downturn that was amplified by the potentially large South American crops. The Brazilian crop is now estimated to be 83.5 mmt, a 17 mmt increase over last year. Demand from China remains good and U.S. stocks were adjusted lower by 10 million bushels. However, the strong downturn suggests old crop has topped just below $15 and has potential downside to recent support just above $13.50. New crop November failed in its recent run higher at $13.50 and is likely going to test support around $12.55 or perhaps even $12.25.
Wheat
Cash bid for February at Memphis 781 1/2 to - - -;
| Bids to farmers at Local Elevators |
711-721; |
| River Elevators |
707-748; |
| Chicago Futures: |
March |
down |
14 3/4 |
at |
741 1/2 |
| |
May |
down |
13 1/4 |
at |
749 1/4 |
| |
July |
down |
12 |
at |
750 3/4 |
| |
Sept |
down |
12 |
at |
759 |
| |
Dec |
down |
13 |
at |
771 1/2 |
| |
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is: |
0¢ |
Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for February at Memphis 1200 to - - -;
| Bids to farmers at River Elevators |
1075-1183; |
| Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is: |
0¢ |
Corn
| Cash bid for |
February at Memphis
727 1/4 to - - -; |
| |
New Crop at Memphis
547 1/2 to 557 1/2; |
| Bids to farmers at River Elevators |
691 to 725 |
| Chicago Futures: |
March |
down |
6 3/4 |
at |
702 1/4 |
| |
May |
down |
7 1/4 |
at |
701 1/2 |
| |
July |
down |
7 |
at |
692 |
| |
Sept |
down |
7 1/4 |
at |
577 1/2 |
| |
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is: |
0¢ |
Grain Comment
Wheat futures were under pressure again today and the charts are looking technically weak. July violated support at $7.52, which could signal another leg down. The failure of exports to ramp up even as global supplies have dwindled is resulting in weaker markets.
Corn has led this recent decline with old crop March faltering just above $7.40. Inability to hold above $7 will see a test of support at $6.80 with potential of moving to the 62% retracement objective of $6.40. New crop December erased previous support at $5.70 and looks very bearish. The next major support is the mid June low of$5.11. Long term, weekly chart support as low as $4.50 may come into play.
Cotton & Rice Date: February 11, 2013
Cotton
| Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: |
Memphis up 25 at
7867 |
| |
Greenwood up
25 at 7867 |
| New York Futures: |
March |
up |
25 |
at |
7292 |
| |
May |
up |
62 |
at |
8392 |
| | July |
up |
76 |
at |
8473 |
| | Oct |
up |
123 |
at |
8475 |
| | Dec |
up |
92 |
at |
8384 |
| This week's LDP rate for cotton is |
0 cents |
| |
The estimate for next week is |
0 cents |
Cotton Comment
Cotton continued higher with crop contracts leading the way. No doubt the National Cotton Council’s planting intentions report showing just 9 million acres for the U.S in 2013 got the market’s attention. The Mid-South showed a whopping 51% decline in projected plantings with Arkansas leading the downturn with a 63% cut. Just 221,000 acres are projected for Arkansas. The Southeast United States was down 18%, the Southwest United States was down 24.4% with Texas down 1.64 million acres. The West was down about 25%. New crop December appears headed to 85 to 86 cents.
Rice
| Long Grain Cash Bid for |
Feb |
- -- |
to |
- - - |
| |
NC |
- - - |
to |
- - - |
| Chicago Futures: |
March |
down |
50 |
at |
1584 1/2 |
| | May |
down |
50 |
at |
1617 |
| | July |
down |
50 |
at |
1643 |
| | Sept |
down |
35 |
at |
1554 |
| | Nov |
down |
35 |
at |
1537 |
| Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is |
0¢ |
| medium grain rice is |
0¢ |
Rice Comment
Rice futures failed after moving just above resistance at $16.30. What followed was a sharp limit decline reversal in all the old crop contracts. The big upturn was the result of technical buying, which collapsed when buyers decided to take profits. This likely established near term highs that could exist for a while. Downside retracement objectives are $15.80, $15.63 and $15.46.
Cattle & Hogs Date: February 11, 2013
Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 417 head
at sales in Springdale.
Compared with last week, feeder steers sodl $4 higher to $9 lower on light test. Feeder heifers under 500 lbs sold steady to $5 higher, weights over 500 lbs sold $2 lower .
| Steers: |
| Medium & Large Frame 1 |
400 |
to |
450 lbs. |
198 |
to |
- - - |
|
| |
500 |
to |
550 lbs. |
177 |
to |
- - - |
|
| |
600 |
to |
650 lbs. |
146 |
to |
- - - |
|
| Medium & Large Frame 2 |
400 |
to |
450 lbs. |
- - - |
to |
- - - |
Heifers: |
| Medium & Large Frame 1 |
500 |
to |
550 lbs. |
148 |
to |
- - - |
|
| Medium & Large Frame 2 |
400 |
to |
450 lbs. |
152 |
to |
- - - |
Slaughter Cows, Boners 74 to 82
Light Weight 67 to 71
Bulls, Yield Grade 1
1000 to 2100 lbs. 99
to - - -
Midwest Steers were at - - -
to - - -
Panhandle Steers were at - - -
to - - -
Oklahoma City Feeders
|
| Steers |
500 |
to |
550 lbs. |
176 |
to |
186 |
| |
550 |
to |
600 lbs. |
161 |
to |
173 |
| Heifers |
500 |
to |
550 lbs. |
157 |
to |
166 |
| |
550 |
to |
600 lbs. |
142 |
to |
149 |
Chicago Futures:
| Live Cattle: |
Feb |
up |
42 |
at |
12687 |
| |
April |
up |
2213035 |
at |
|
| Feeders: |
March |
down |
20 |
at |
14480 |
| |
April |
up |
42 |
at |
14862 |
Cattle Comment
Cattle futures ended the day mixed. April opened weak on follow through selling after Friday’s weak close. The market quickly fell to its lowest level since June. However, buying interest materialized and the market closed higher on the day. Today’s low just above $129 will be the first level of support for April.
Hogs
Peoria: were steady
at 55 to 57
| Chicago Futures: |
Feb |
up |
45 |
at |
8690 |
| |
April |
up |
25 |
at |
8637 |
Hogs Comment
Hog futures were also mixed. The market moved into oversold territory last week, but that doesn’t guarantee a bottom has been found. The charts have taken on a very negative appearance. June moved to a 6 month low and looks to have broken out of a bear flag formation, and setting a downward objective of $93.15. The market is focused on negative packer margins and further declines in product values.
Poultry Date: February 11, 2013
Eggs
| New York: |
Ex. Lg. 119-123; Lg. 117-121; Med. 96-100; |
| Chicago: |
Ex. Lg. 116-124; Lg. 114-122; Med. 84-92; |
National Turkeys
| Hens: |
8-16 lbs. |
95 |
| Toms: |
16-24 lbs. |
95 |
| |
|
|
Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade An/a
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