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Arkansas Farm Bureau Daily Commodity Report

Grain & Soybean Date: August 07, 2008

Soybeans

Local Elevators:
(Aug) EAST AR:  n/a to - - -
(NC) Summ. 1131 to 1168
River Elevators:
(Aug) MISS: 1154 to 1185 ; AR & White 1156 to 1162
(NC) Summ. 1132 to 1185
Ark. Processor Bids: (Aug) n/a to - - -  (NC) 1161 to 1164
Memphis:  (Aug) 1194 to - - - (NC)  1184 to - - -
Riceland Foods:  (Aug) Stuttgart 1164 ; Pendleton 1168 ; West Memphis 1185

Chicago Futures:Sepup21at 1234 1/2
 Nov up 17 at 1239
 Jan '09up17 at 1256 3/4
 Mar '09up16 1/4 at 1272
 Nov '09up19 at 1267
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for soybeans is:

Soybean Comment
Soybeans and corn closed higher for the day, but today’s trading range was an inside day, meaning it didn’t move higher or lower than yesterday’s trading and doesn’t give much indication of where the market might be going. It appears to be buying in reaction to an oversold situation that developed from 4 days of declining values. A stronger $ was partially offset by good export sales and a firming undertone in crude oil. Look for both corn and soybeans to be choppy ahead of next Tuesday’s report. Upside potential will be determined by USDA’s projections in relation to current expectations.

Wheat
Cash bid for August at Memphis  632 1/4 to 642 1/4;
Bids to farmers at Local Elevators589;
River Elevators576-622;

Chicago Futures:Sepup 56 1/2 at 822 1/4 
 Decup56 1/4 at 847 
 Mar '09up 55 1/4 at 870 
 May '09up 55 1/4 at 884 1/4 
 Jul '09up 53 1/2 at 895 3/4 
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for wheat is:

Grain Sorghum
Cash bid for new crop at Memphis  n/a to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators666-754;
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for sorghum is:

Corn
Cash bid for August at Memphis   487 1/4 to 497 1/4;
 new crop at Memphis   n/a to - - -;
Bids to farmers at River Elevators 459 to 483

Chicago Futures:Sepup 14 1/4 at 522 1/4 
 Decup 14 1/4 at 542 
 Mar '09up 14 1/2 at 561 1/2 
 Dec '09up 16 1/2 at 591 1/4 
 Today's Arkansas LDP rate for corn is:

Grain Comment
Wheat led the market higher, with huge across the board gains. Poor crop conditions in the spring wheat area contributed to the strong move. Weekly exports were also positive and kept cumulative sales within 4% of last year. USDA is projecting exports will decline over 20% for the year. Today’s strong close could give the market an opportunity to test resistance between $8.50 and $8.60.



Cotton & Rice  Date: August 07, 2008


Cotton
Spot Price, Grade 41 Staple 34: Memphis up 187 at  6458
 Greenwood up  187 at 6458

New York Futures:Octup 181 at 6927 
 Decup 175 at 7131 
 Mar '09up 150 at 7627 
 May '09up 159 at 7821 
 Jul '09up 146 at 7953 
This week's LDP rate for cotton is 0 cents
 The estimate for next week is 0 cents
Cotton Comment
Cotton made good gains with December pushing up near resistance just under 72 cents. However, the overall fundamental picture remains rather murky and prospects of further declines are possible. The next likely downside objective is the late 62% retracement level of 63.3 cents. Lead contracts retraced to that level in both June and July. Big stocks continue to weigh on the market and that will remain the case until later in the year.

Rice
Long Grain Cash Bid for Aug1650/cwt to - - -
 - - -- - - to - - -

Chicago Futures:Sepup 24 at 1612 
 Novup 23 at 1641 
 Jan '09up 23 at 1673 
 Mar '09up 24 at 1705 
 - - - - - - at - - - 
Today's Arkansas LDP rate for long grain rice is 
medium grain rice is 
Rice Comment
Rice futures were higher for the day with September leaving a possible one day island reversal low. This occurred in a very thin trade which lowers the reliability of the formation. September was above $16 once again, but still could move toward the next level of support at $15.66. Mills appear to be covered for needs into September. On the international scene the market seems almost as unsettled as earlier when it was moving sharply higher. Vietnam price offers are all over the board, while they are maintaining a minimum export price of $750 per tonne. Thailand is considering release of as much as 2 million metric tonnes of intervention stocks. All of this is weighing on the U.S. market.



Cattle & Hogs  Date: August 07, 2008

Cattle
As reported by Federal-State Market News, receipts were 1,122 head at sales in Charlotte, Ratcliff & Green Forest.  Compared with last week, feeder steers sold unevely, mostly steady to $2 higher .

Steers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1  400to450 lbs.113.40to- - -
 500to550 lbs.108.29to- - -
 600to650 lbs.111.79to- - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2  400to450 lbs.103.15to- - -

Heifers:
 Medium & Large Frame 1  400to450 lbs.100.86to- - -
 Medium & Large Frame 2  400to450 lbs.91.65to- - -

Slaughter Cows, Boners 50   to   57.50
Light Weight n/a to - - -
Bulls, Yield Grade   1   1000   to   2100 lbs.   66   to   71.50, high dressing 78-85
Midwest Steers   remained   at   96   to   - - -
Panhandle Steers   n/a   at   - - -   to   - - -

Oklahoma City Feeders
Steersn/ato- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
 n/ato- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
Heifersn/ato- - - lbs.- - -to- - -
 n/ato- - - lbs.- - -to- - -

Chicago Futures:
Live Cattle:Octdown135at10720
 Decdown35at10690
Feeders:Octdown217at11535
 Novdown250at11620

Cattle Comment
Cattle futures reversed yesterday’s gains as cash bids failed to follow the market higher. Packers are resisting higher offerings despite good margins. Good export demand and firm beef values are expected to limit downside movement.

Hogs
Peoria: were $2     higher   at   55.5   to   56

Chicago Futures:Octup7at7697
 Decup110at7545

Sheep
St. Paul sheep shorn slaughter lambs   at   n/a   to   - - -

Hogs Comment
Hog futures were higher with expiring August having gained over $6 in the last week. Favorable packer margins, good export movement, and lighter weights are helping boost demand.



Poultry  Date: August 07, 2008

Eggs
New York: Ex. Lg. 112-116; Lg. 110-114; Med. 76-80;
Chicago: Ex. Lg. 94-102; Lg. 92-100; Med. 63-71;

Eastern Region Turkeys
Hens:8-16 lbs.94-97
Toms:16-24 lbs.94-97
 

Delmarva Broilers
U.S. Grade A
Trade sentiment was mostly steady. Demand into all channels was fair to moderate with improvement possible approaching the weekend. Supplies of all sizes were sufficient to satisfy trade needs. In production areas, live supplies were moderate. Weights were mostly desirable.

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